FC Ryūkyū
Yokohama FC
The model leans Yokohama FC at 54%. Expected goals: FC Ryūkyū 0.82, Yokohama FC 1.90. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 52%. FC Ryūkyū won 1 of their last 5; Yokohama FC won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Ryūkyū | 14% | 6.92 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.23 | – | – | – |
| 2Yokohama FC | 62% | 1.62 | – | – | – |
Pick: Yokohama FC. Calibrated probability 54% (raw model output 62%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 86%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.82 – 1.90| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Both teams to score | Yes47% | No53% |
Most likely scores
- 0–112.6%
- 0–211.9%
- 1–110.3%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–37.6%
- 0–06.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 43% · BTTS No 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Yokohama FC −1| FC Ryūkyū line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5% | – | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 11% | 85% |
| -0.5 | 15% | – | 85% |
| 0 | 15% | 22% | 63% |
| +0.5 | 37% | – | 63% |
| +1 | 37% | 25% | 38% |
| +1.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.