Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Yokohama FC
The model leans Tegevajaro Miyazaki at 43%. Expected goals: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1.56, Yokohama FC 1.11. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%. Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 1 of their last 6; Yokohama FC won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 47% | 2.15 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.62 | – | – | – |
| 2Yokohama FC | 26% | 3.88 | – | – | – |
Pick: Tegevajaro Miyazaki. Calibrated probability 43% (raw model output 47%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.56 – 1.11| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% |
| Both teams to score | Yes53% | No47% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.5%
- 0–17.7%
- 0–07.0%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 37% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Tegevajaro Miyazaki −0.5| Tegevajaro Miyazaki line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | – | 52% |
| 0 | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| +0.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.