Yokohama FC
Jubilo Iwata
The model leans Yokohama FC at 53%. Expected goals: Yokohama FC 1.88, Jubilo Iwata 0.89. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 51%. Yokohama FC won 4 of their last 6; Jubilo Iwata won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Yokohama FC | 59% | 1.68 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.13 | – | – | – |
| 2Jubilo Iwata | 16% | 6.13 | – | – | – |
Pick: Yokohama FC. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 59%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 84%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.88 – 0.89| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams to score | Yes50% | No50% |
Most likely scores
- 1–011.8%
- 2–011.1%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–06.9%
- 0–06.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 49% · BTTS Yes 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Yokohama FC −1| Yokohama FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | – | 39% |
| 0 | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| +0.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.