Rapid Wien
Heart of Midlothian
The model leans Heart of Midlothian at 60%. Expected goals: Rapid Wien 0.61, Heart of Midlothian 1.89. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 60%. Rapid Wien won 3 of their last 6; Heart of Midlothian won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rapid Wien | 10% | 9.72 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.41 | – | – | – |
| 2Heart of Midlothian | 67% | 1.49 | – | – | – |
Pick: Heart of Midlothian. Calibrated probability 60% (raw model output 67%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 90%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.61 – 1.89| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% |
| Both teams to score | Yes39% | No61% |
Most likely scores
- 0–115.5%
- 0–214.6%
- 1–19.5%
- 0–39.2%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–08.2%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Heart of Midlothian −1| Rapid Wien line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3% | – | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 9% | 89% |
| -0.5 | 11% | – | 89% |
| 0 | 11% | 21% | 68% |
| +0.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| +1 | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| +1.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.