SC Heerenveen
OH Leuven
The model leans SC Heerenveen at 51%. Expected goals: SC Heerenveen 1.92, OH Leuven 1.04. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 56%. SC Heerenveen won 2 of their last 5; OH Leuven won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1SC Heerenveen | 57% | 1.76 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.15 | – | – | – |
| 2OH Leuven | 19% | 5.23 | – | – | – |
Pick: SC Heerenveen. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 57%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 81%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.92 – 1.04| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% |
| Both teams to score | Yes55% | No45% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.4%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.6%
- 3–16.3%
- 3–06.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 52% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: SC Heerenveen −1| SC Heerenveen line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 34% | – | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
| 0 | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| +0.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.