IFK Göteborg
Gent
The model leans IFK Göteborg at 39%. Expected goals: IFK Göteborg 1.52, Gent 1.27. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 57%. IFK Göteborg won 3 of their last 6; Gent won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1IFK Göteborg | 42% | 2.39 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.64 | – | – | – |
| 2Gent | 31% | 3.26 | – | – | – |
Pick: IFK Göteborg. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.52 – 1.27| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% |
| Both teams to score | Yes56% | No44% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–07.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: IFK Göteborg 0| IFK Göteborg line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 21% | – | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | – | 57% |
| 0 | 43% | 25% | 32% |
| +0.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.