Eintracht Braunschweig
Southampton
The model leans Southampton at 57%. Expected goals: Eintracht Braunschweig 0.88, Southampton 2.13. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 52%. Eintracht Braunschweig won 1 of their last 5; Southampton won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Eintracht Braunschweig | 13% | 7.42 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.67 | – | – | – |
| 2Southampton | 65% | 1.54 | – | – | – |
Pick: Southampton. Calibrated probability 57% (raw model output 65%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 87%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.88 – 2.13| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% |
| Both teams to score | Yes51% | No49% |
Most likely scores
- 0–211.2%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.3%
- 0–37.9%
- 1–37.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 53% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Southampton −1| Eintracht Braunschweig line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 4% | – | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| 0 | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| +0.5 | 34% | – | 66% |
| +1 | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| +1.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.