Eintracht Braunschweig
Bochum
The model leans Bochum at 39%. Expected goals: Eintracht Braunschweig 1.17, Bochum 1.43. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 54%. Eintracht Braunschweig won 1 of their last 5; Bochum won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Eintracht Braunschweig | 30% | 3.37 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.50 | – | – | – |
| 2Bochum | 42% | 2.40 | – | – | – |
Pick: Bochum. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 71%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.17 – 1.43| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% |
| Both teams to score | Yes53% | No47% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.7%
- 0–27.6%
- 0–07.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 48% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Eintracht Braunschweig 0| Eintracht Braunschweig line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 13% | – | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | – | 69% |
| 0 | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| +0.5 | 57% | – | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | – | 21% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.