Magdeburg
West Ham United
The model leans West Ham United at 56%. Expected goals: Magdeburg 1.16, West Ham United 2.42. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 63%. Magdeburg won 2 of their last 4; West Ham United won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Magdeburg | 16% | 6.33 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 20% | 5.08 | – | – | – |
| 2West Ham United | 65% | 1.55 | – | – | – |
Pick: West Ham United. Calibrated probability 56% (raw model output 65%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 84%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.16 – 2.42| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| Both teams to score | Yes62% | No38% |
Most likely scores
- 1–29.5%
- 0–28.2%
- 1–17.8%
- 1–37.7%
- 0–16.8%
- 0–36.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: West Ham United −1| Magdeburg line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 10% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| 0 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| +0.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| +1 | 35% | 22% | 43% |
| +1.5 | 57% | – | 43% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.