Predictions · Ligue 3 · outside model coverage

Cannes

11
Lost

FC Fleury 91

The model leans FC Fleury 91 at 63%. Expected goals: Cannes 0.05, FC Fleury 91 1.37. Over 2.5 goals 83%, both teams to score 96%. Cannes won 1 of their last 4; FC Fleury 91 won 0 of their last 4.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Cannes1%90.09
XDraw26%3.83
2FC Fleury 9173%1.37

Pick: FC Fleury 91. Calibrated probability 63% (raw model output 73%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 99%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 0.05 – 1.37
LineOverUnder
1.542%58%
2.517%83%
3.56%94%
Both teams to scoreYes4%No96%

Most likely scores

  • 0133.1%
  • 0024.1%
  • 0222.7%
  • 0310.4%
  • 043.6%
  • 111.7%

Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 69% · BTTS No 65%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: FC Fleury 91 −1
Cannes lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.50%100%
-10%1%99%
-0.51%99%
01%26%73%
+0.527%73%
+127%34%39%
+1.561%39%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.