FC Fleury 91
Orléans
The model leans FC Fleury 91 at 50%. Expected goals: FC Fleury 91 1.57, Orléans 0.93. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 51%. FC Fleury 91 won 0 of their last 4; Orléans won 2 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Fleury 91 | 51% | 1.95 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.61 | – | – | – |
| 2Orléans | 21% | 4.75 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC Fleury 91. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 51%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.57 – 0.93| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% |
| Both teams to score | Yes48% | No52% |
Most likely scores
- 1–012.9%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 0–08.2%
- 0–17.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS No 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC Fleury 91 −0.5| FC Fleury 91 line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 25% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | – | 48% |
| 0 | 52% | 25% | 22% |
| +0.5 | 78% | – | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.