Quevilly
FC Fleury 91
The model leans FC Fleury 91 at 42%. Expected goals: Quevilly 0.95, FC Fleury 91 1.39. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 53%. Quevilly won 1 of their last 4; FC Fleury 91 won 0 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Quevilly | 24% | 4.10 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.36 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Fleury 91 | 46% | 2.18 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC Fleury 91. Calibrated probability 42% (raw model output 46%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.95 – 1.39| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% |
| Both teams to score | Yes46% | No54% |
Most likely scores
- 0–113.4%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–09.7%
- 0–29.3%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.8%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 54% · BTTS No 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC Fleury 91 −0.5| Quevilly line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 9% | – | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 17% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| 0 | 26% | 27% | 47% |
| +0.5 | 53% | – | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.