Cannes
Le Puy
The model leans Le Puy at 61%. Expected goals: Cannes 0.05, Le Puy 1.23. Over 2.5 goals 86%, both teams to score 96%. Cannes won 1 of their last 4; Le Puy won 2 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cannes | 1% | 76.92 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.34 | – | – | – |
| 2Le Puy | 69% | 1.45 | – | – | – |
Pick: Le Puy. Calibrated probability 61% (raw model output 69%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 99%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.05 – 1.23| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 86% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% |
| Both teams to score | Yes3% | No97% |
Most likely scores
- 0–134.2%
- 0–027.9%
- 0–221.0%
- 0–38.6%
- 0–42.6%
- 1–11.7%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 70% · BTTS No 65%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Le Puy −1| Cannes line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 0% | – | 100% |
| -1 | 0% | 1% | 99% |
| -0.5 | 1% | – | 99% |
| 0 | 1% | 30% | 69% |
| +0.5 | 31% | – | 69% |
| +1 | 31% | 35% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.