Rouen
Cannes
The model leans Rouen at 63%. Expected goals: Rouen 1.37, Cannes 0.05. Over 2.5 goals 83%, both teams to score 96%. Rouen won 3 of their last 5; Cannes won 1 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rouen | 73% | 1.37 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.82 | – | – | – |
| 2Cannes | 1% | 90.09 | – | – | – |
Pick: Rouen. Calibrated probability 63% (raw model output 73%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 99%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.37 – 0.05| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 83% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% |
| Both teams to score | Yes4% | No96% |
Most likely scores
- 1–033.1%
- 0–024.1%
- 2–022.7%
- 3–010.4%
- 4–03.6%
- 1–11.7%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 69% · BTTS No 65%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Rouen −1| Rouen line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 34% | 27% |
| -0.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
| 0 | 73% | 26% | 1% |
| +0.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
| +1 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +1.5 | 100% | – | 0% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.