Rilski Sportist
Sportist Svoge
The model leans Rilski Sportist at 64%. Expected goals: Rilski Sportist 2.88, Sportist Svoge 1.09. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 63%. Rilski Sportist won 2 of their last 6; Sportist Svoge won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rilski Sportist | 74% | 1.36 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 16% | 6.41 | – | – | – |
| 2Sportist Svoge | 11% | 9.25 | – | – | – |
Pick: Rilski Sportist. Calibrated probability 64% (raw model output 74%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 89%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.88 – 1.09| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% |
| Both teams to score | Yes63% | No37% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.5%
- 3–18.2%
- 2–07.9%
- 3–07.6%
- 1–15.9%
- 4–15.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 61% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Rilski Sportist −1.5| Rilski Sportist line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| -1 | 54% | 20% | 26% |
| -0.5 | 74% | – | 26% |
| 0 | 74% | 14% | 11% |
| +0.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.