Dobrudzha Dobrich
Sportist Svoge
The model leans Dobrudzha Dobrich at 52%. Expected goals: Dobrudzha Dobrich 1.49, Sportist Svoge 0.55. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 66%. Dobrudzha Dobrich won 1 of their last 6; Sportist Svoge won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Dobrudzha Dobrich | 59% | 1.69 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.54 | – | – | – |
| 2Sportist Svoge | 13% | 7.91 | – | – | – |
Pick: Dobrudzha Dobrich. Calibrated probability 52% (raw model output 59%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 87%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.49 – 0.55| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% |
| Both teams to score | Yes33% | No67% |
Most likely scores
- 1–019.3%
- 2–014.4%
- 0–013.0%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–17.9%
- 0–17.2%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 58% · BTTS No 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Dobrudzha Dobrich −1| Dobrudzha Dobrich line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | – | 40% |
| 0 | 60% | 26% | 14% |
| +0.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 11% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.