Stockport County
Blackpool
The model leans Stockport County at 50%. Expected goals: Stockport County 1.72, Blackpool 1.00. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 53%. Stockport County won 3 of their last 6; Blackpool won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Stockport County | 53% | 1.88 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.83 | – | – | – |
| 2Blackpool | 21% | 4.80 | – | – | – |
Pick: Stockport County. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 53%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.72 – 1.00| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Both teams to score | Yes52% | No48% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.3%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.7%
- 0–16.6%
- 0–06.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 45% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Stockport County −0.5| Stockport County line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 30% | – | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 24% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| 0 | 54% | 24% | 22% |
| +0.5 | 78% | – | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.