Zulte Waregem
SK Beveren
The model leans SK Beveren at 45%. Expected goals: Zulte Waregem 1.11, SK Beveren 1.63. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%. Zulte Waregem won 3 of their last 6; SK Beveren won 1 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Zulte Waregem | 25% | 4.04 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.71 | – | – | – |
| 2SK Beveren | 48% | 2.07 | – | – | – |
Pick: SK Beveren. Calibrated probability 45% (raw model output 48%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.11 – 1.63| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams to score | Yes54% | No46% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.7%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–28.6%
- 1–07.1%
- 2–16.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 48% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: SK Beveren −0.5| Zulte Waregem line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| 0 | 26% | 25% | 50% |
| +0.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 23% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | – | 26% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.