SK Beveren
Anderlecht
The model leans SK Beveren at 50%. Expected goals: SK Beveren 1.97, Anderlecht 1.19. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 61%. SK Beveren won 1 of their last 4; Anderlecht won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1SK Beveren | 55% | 1.83 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.21 | – | – | – |
| 2Anderlecht | 22% | 4.62 | – | – | – |
Pick: SK Beveren. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 55%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.97 – 1.19| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% |
| Both teams to score | Yes60% | No40% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–16.4%
- 1–25.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 55% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: SK Beveren −0.5| SK Beveren line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 33% | – | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 23% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| 0 | 56% | 22% | 23% |
| +0.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.