Budućnost Podgorica
FK Bokelj
The model leans Budućnost Podgorica at 39%. Expected goals: Budućnost Podgorica 1.08, FK Bokelj 0.72. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 65%. Budućnost Podgorica won 1 of their last 5; FK Bokelj won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Budućnost Podgorica | 42% | 2.35 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 35% | 2.88 | – | – | – |
| 2FK Bokelj | 23% | 4.38 | – | – | – |
Pick: Budućnost Podgorica. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.08 – 0.72| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% |
| Both teams to score | Yes34% | No66% |
Most likely scores
- 1–017.9%
- 0–016.5%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–111.9%
- 2–09.6%
- 2–16.9%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 60% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Budućnost Podgorica −0.5| Budućnost Podgorica line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 18% | – | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 26% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | – | 56% |
| 0 | 44% | 32% | 24% |
| +0.5 | 76% | – | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 17% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.