Decic Tuzi
FK Bokelj
The model leans Decic Tuzi at 42%. Expected goals: Decic Tuzi 1.36, FK Bokelj 0.91. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 54%. Decic Tuzi won 3 of their last 4; FK Bokelj won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Decic Tuzi | 46% | 2.18 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.31 | – | – | – |
| 2FK Bokelj | 24% | 4.19 | – | – | – |
Pick: Decic Tuzi. Calibrated probability 42% (raw model output 46%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.36 – 0.91| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% |
| Both teams to score | Yes44% | No56% |
Most likely scores
- 1–014.0%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–010.3%
- 2–09.5%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.7%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 55% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Decic Tuzi −0.5| Decic Tuzi line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 25% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| 0 | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| +0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 17% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.