Buducnost Podgorica
Decic Tuzi
The model leans Buducnost Podgorica at 37%. Expected goals: Buducnost Podgorica 1.08, Decic Tuzi 0.81. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 62%. Buducnost Podgorica won 1 of their last 5; Decic Tuzi won 3 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Buducnost Podgorica | 40% | 2.50 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 34% | 2.92 | – | – | – |
| 2Decic Tuzi | 26% | 3.88 | – | – | – |
Pick: Buducnost Podgorica. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 40%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.08 – 0.81| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% |
| Both teams to score | Yes37% | No63% |
Most likely scores
- 1–016.3%
- 0–015.2%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–112.3%
- 2–08.8%
- 2–17.1%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 59% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Buducnost Podgorica 0| Buducnost Podgorica line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 25% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | – | 59% |
| 0 | 41% | 32% | 27% |
| +0.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 18% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.