Sutjeska
Buducnost Podgorica
The model leans Sutjeska at 51%. Expected goals: Sutjeska 1.54, Buducnost Podgorica 0.71. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 59%. Sutjeska won 1 of their last 4; Buducnost Podgorica won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sutjeska | 56% | 1.78 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.58 | – | – | – |
| 2Buducnost Podgorica | 16% | 6.30 | – | – | – |
Pick: Sutjeska. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 56%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 84%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.54 – 0.71| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% |
| Both teams to score | Yes40% | No60% |
Most likely scores
- 1–016.3%
- 2–012.5%
- 1–111.5%
- 0–010.6%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–17.5%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 55% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Sutjeska −1| Sutjeska line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 30% | – | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 27% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | – | 43% |
| 0 | 57% | 26% | 17% |
| +0.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.