Raith Rovers
Peterhead
The model leans Raith Rovers at 69%. Expected goals: Raith Rovers 2.95, Peterhead 0.81. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 53%. Raith Rovers won 3 of their last 6; Peterhead won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Raith Rovers | 80% | 1.25 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 13% | 7.46 | – | – | – |
| 2Peterhead | 7% | 14.79 | – | – | – |
Pick: Raith Rovers. Calibrated probability 69% (raw model output 80%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 93%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.95 – 0.81| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| Both teams to score | Yes53% | No47% |
Most likely scores
- 2–010.1%
- 3–010.0%
- 2–18.2%
- 3–18.1%
- 4–07.3%
- 1–06.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Raith Rovers −2| Raith Rovers line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 61% | – | 39% |
| -1 | 61% | 19% | 20% |
| -0.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
| 0 | 80% | 12% | 7% |
| +0.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
| +1 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.