Slavia Mozyr
Maxline Vitebsk
The model leans Maxline Vitebsk at 53%. Expected goals: Slavia Mozyr 0.70, Maxline Vitebsk 1.67. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 58%. Slavia Mozyr won 2 of their last 6; Maxline Vitebsk won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Slavia Mozyr | 14% | 7.01 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.83 | – | – | – |
| 2Maxline Vitebsk | 60% | 1.68 | – | – | – |
Pick: Maxline Vitebsk. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 60%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 86%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.70 – 1.67| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% |
| Both teams to score | Yes41% | No59% |
Most likely scores
- 0–115.6%
- 0–213.0%
- 1–110.9%
- 0–09.3%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–37.3%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 53% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Maxline Vitebsk −1| Slavia Mozyr line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 4% | – | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 11% | 85% |
| -0.5 | 15% | – | 85% |
| 0 | 15% | 24% | 61% |
| +0.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 27% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.