Slavia Mozyr
Dnyapro Mogilev
The model leans Slavia Mozyr at 51%. Expected goals: Slavia Mozyr 1.61, Dnyapro Mogilev 0.75. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 57%. Slavia Mozyr won 2 of their last 6; Dnyapro Mogilev won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Slavia Mozyr | 57% | 1.76 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.70 | – | – | – |
| 2Dnyapro Mogilev | 16% | 6.22 | – | – | – |
Pick: Slavia Mozyr. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 57%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 84%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.61 – 0.75| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% |
| Both teams to score | Yes42% | No58% |
Most likely scores
- 1–015.2%
- 2–012.3%
- 1–111.4%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.1%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 54% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Slavia Mozyr −1| Slavia Mozyr line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
| 0 | 58% | 25% | 17% |
| +0.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.