Belshina Bobruisk
Baranovichi
The model leans Belshina Bobruisk at 44%. Expected goals: Belshina Bobruisk 2.15, Baranovichi 1.71. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 73%. Belshina Bobruisk won 1 of their last 6; Baranovichi won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Belshina Bobruisk | 47% | 2.11 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.50 | – | – | – |
| 2Baranovichi | 30% | 3.30 | – | – | – |
Pick: Belshina Bobruisk. Calibrated probability 44% (raw model output 47%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.15 – 1.71| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| Both teams to score | Yes72% | No28% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.3%
- 1–17.8%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.6%
- 3–16.0%
- 3–25.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Belshina Bobruisk −0.5| Belshina Bobruisk line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 20% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | – | 52% |
| 0 | 48% | 21% | 31% |
| +0.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.