Corpus Christi
Richmond Kickers
The model leans Corpus Christi at 37%. Expected goals: Corpus Christi 1.41, Richmond Kickers 1.28. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 56%. Corpus Christi won 2 of their last 6; Richmond Kickers won 0 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Corpus Christi | 39% | 2.58 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.53 | – | – | – |
| 2Richmond Kickers | 33% | 3.04 | – | – | – |
Pick: Corpus Christi. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 39%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 72%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.41 – 1.28| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% |
| Both teams to score | Yes54% | No46% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.6%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–06.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 28% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Corpus Christi 0| Corpus Christi line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 19% | – | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| 0 | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.