Deportes Limache
Ñublense
The model leans Deportes Limache at 50%. Expected goals: Deportes Limache 1.70, Ñublense 1.03. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 54%. Deportes Limache won 2 of their last 5; Ñublense won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Deportes Limache | 52% | 1.93 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.80 | – | – | – |
| 2Ñublense | 22% | 4.58 | – | – | – |
Pick: Deportes Limache. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 52%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.70 – 1.03| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Both teams to score | Yes53% | No47% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.4%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.4%
- 0–16.7%
- 0–06.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 48% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Deportes Limache −0.5| Deportes Limache line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 24% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | – | 47% |
| 0 | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| +0.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.