Deportes Copiapo
Santiago Wanderers
The model leans Santiago Wanderers at 37%. Expected goals: Deportes Copiapo 1.47, Santiago Wanderers 1.56. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 62%. Deportes Copiapo won 1 of their last 6; Santiago Wanderers won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Deportes Copiapo | 35% | 2.86 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.79 | – | – | – |
| 2Santiago Wanderers | 39% | 2.59 | – | – | – |
Pick: Santiago Wanderers. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 39%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.47 – 1.56| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% |
| Both teams to score | Yes61% | No39% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.1%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–07.1%
- 2–26.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Deportes Copiapo 0| Deportes Copiapo line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| 0 | 36% | 24% | 40% |
| +0.5 | 60% | – | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.