Rangers
Deportes Copiapo
The model leans Deportes Copiapo at 40%. Expected goals: Rangers 0.98, Deportes Copiapo 1.33. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 53%. Rangers won 1 of their last 3; Deportes Copiapo won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rangers | 26% | 3.80 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.30 | – | – | – |
| 2Deportes Copiapo | 43% | 2.31 | – | – | – |
Pick: Deportes Copiapo. Calibrated probability 40% (raw model output 43%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.98 – 1.33| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% |
| Both teams to score | Yes46% | No54% |
Most likely scores
- 0–113.2%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–09.9%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–28.8%
- 1–28.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 54% · BTTS No 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Deportes Copiapo −0.5| Rangers line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| 0 | 28% | 28% | 45% |
| +0.5 | 55% | – | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | – | 21% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.