Levadiakos
Asteras Tripolis
The model leans Levadiakos at 54%. Expected goals: Levadiakos 1.98, Asteras Tripolis 0.90. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 52%. Levadiakos won 1 of their last 3; Asteras Tripolis won 0 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Levadiakos | 61% | 1.63 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.33 | – | – | – |
| 2Asteras Tripolis | 15% | 6.47 | – | – | – |
Pick: Levadiakos. Calibrated probability 54% (raw model output 61%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 85%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.98 – 0.90| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% |
| Both teams to score | Yes51% | No49% |
Most likely scores
- 1–011.1%
- 2–011.0%
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–07.2%
- 3–16.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Levadiakos −1| Levadiakos line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| 0 | 62% | 21% | 16% |
| +0.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.