Levadiakos
Panathinaikos
The model leans Panathinaikos at 36%. Expected goals: Levadiakos 1.32, Panathinaikos 1.40. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 56%. Levadiakos won 1 of their last 3; Panathinaikos won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Levadiakos | 34% | 2.94 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.56 | – | – | – |
| 2Panathinaikos | 38% | 2.64 | – | – | – |
Pick: Panathinaikos. Calibrated probability 36% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 72%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.32 – 1.40| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Both teams to score | Yes55% | No45% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–18.0%
- 0–06.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 45% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Levadiakos 0| Levadiakos line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 16% | – | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| 0 | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| +0.5 | 61% | – | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.