Salford City
Dundee United
The model leans Salford City at 36%. Expected goals: Salford City 1.26, Dundee United 1.18. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 51%. Salford City won 2 of their last 6; Dundee United won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Salford City | 37% | 2.70 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.34 | – | – | – |
| 2Dundee United | 33% | 3.04 | – | – | – |
Pick: Salford City. Calibrated probability 36% (raw model output 37%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 70%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.26 – 1.18| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% |
| Both teams to score | Yes50% | No50% |
Most likely scores
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–110.3%
- 0–08.7%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–27.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 51% · BTTS Yes 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Salford City 0| Salford City line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 21% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| 0 | 38% | 27% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.