Predictions · Super League · outside model coverage
Olympiacos
1–0
Won
Atromitos
The model leans Olympiacos at 60%. Expected goals: Olympiacos 1.92, Atromitos 0.62. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 60%.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match67
22
| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Olympiacos | 67% | 1.48 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.47 | – | – | – |
| 2Atromitos | 10% | 9.82 | – | – | – |
Pick: Olympiacos. Calibrated probability 60% (raw model output 67%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 90%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.92 – 0.62| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% |
| Both teams to score | Yes39% | No61% |
Most likely scores
- 1–015.2%
- 2–014.6%
- 1–19.4%
- 3–09.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–07.9%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Olympiacos −1| Olympiacos line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
| 0 | 68% | 20% | 11% |
| +0.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.