Rangers
Saint-Etienne
The model leans Rangers at 57%. Expected goals: Rangers 2.38, Saint-Etienne 1.07. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 60%. Rangers won 3 of their last 6; Saint-Etienne won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rangers | 66% | 1.52 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 20% | 5.07 | – | – | – |
| 2Saint-Etienne | 15% | 6.83 | – | – | – |
Pick: Rangers. Calibrated probability 57% (raw model output 66%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 85%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.38 – 1.07| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| Both teams to score | Yes60% | No40% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.0%
- 1–18.1%
- 3–17.6%
- 1–07.6%
- 3–07.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Rangers −1| Rangers line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 44% | – | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 22% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| 0 | 66% | 18% | 15% |
| +0.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.