Le Mans
Versailles
The model leans Le Mans at 51%. Expected goals: Le Mans 1.55, Versailles 0.72. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 59%. Le Mans won 3 of their last 5; Versailles won 2 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Le Mans | 56% | 1.78 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.60 | – | – | – |
| 2Versailles | 16% | 6.25 | – | – | – |
Pick: Le Mans. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 56%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 84%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.55 – 0.72| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% |
| Both teams to score | Yes40% | No60% |
Most likely scores
- 1–016.1%
- 2–012.5%
- 1–111.5%
- 0–010.4%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–17.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 55% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Le Mans −1| Le Mans line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 31% | – | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 27% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | – | 43% |
| 0 | 57% | 25% | 17% |
| +0.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.