Bromley
Crystal Palace
The model leans Crystal Palace at 50%. Expected goals: Bromley 0.84, Crystal Palace 1.45. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 55%. Bromley won 1 of their last 6; Crystal Palace won 1 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bromley | 21% | 4.87 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.42 | – | – | – |
| 2Crystal Palace | 50% | 1.99 | – | – | – |
Pick: Crystal Palace. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 50%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.84 – 1.45| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% |
| Both teams to score | Yes43% | No57% |
Most likely scores
- 0–114.7%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–210.6%
- 0–010.2%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.5%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 55% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Crystal Palace −0.5| Bromley line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 7% | – | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| 0 | 22% | 27% | 51% |
| +0.5 | 49% | – | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 26% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | – | 26% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.