Sheffield Wednesday
Bromley
The model leans Bromley at 53%. Expected goals: Sheffield Wednesday 0.59, Bromley 1.56. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 64%. Sheffield Wednesday won 4 of their last 6; Bromley won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sheffield Wednesday | 13% | 7.76 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.66 | – | – | – |
| 2Bromley | 60% | 1.67 | – | – | – |
Pick: Bromley. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 60%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 87%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.59 – 1.56| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% |
| Both teams to score | Yes35% | No65% |
Most likely scores
- 0–118.2%
- 0–214.1%
- 0–011.7%
- 1–110.7%
- 1–28.4%
- 0–37.3%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 57% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Bromley −1| Sheffield Wednesday line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3% | – | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 11% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| 0 | 14% | 25% | 61% |
| +0.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.