Bromley
Leyton Orient
The model leans Bromley at 50%. Expected goals: Bromley 1.57, Leyton Orient 0.85. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 53%. Bromley won 1 of their last 6; Leyton Orient won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bromley | 53% | 1.89 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.60 | – | – | – |
| 2Leyton Orient | 19% | 5.19 | – | – | – |
Pick: Bromley. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 53%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 81%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.57 – 0.85| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% |
| Both teams to score | Yes45% | No55% |
Most likely scores
- 1–013.9%
- 1–111.9%
- 2–010.9%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.9%
- 0–17.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 51% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Bromley −0.5| Bromley line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 26% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| 0 | 54% | 25% | 20% |
| +0.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.