Yantra
Montana
The model leans Yantra at 50%. Expected goals: Yantra 1.23, Montana 0.52. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 70%. Yantra won 4 of their last 6; Montana won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Yantra | 53% | 1.90 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 33% | 3.06 | – | – | – |
| 2Montana | 15% | 6.81 | – | – | – |
Pick: Yantra. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 53%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 85%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.23 – 0.52| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% |
| Both teams to score | Yes29% | No71% |
Most likely scores
- 1–021.3%
- 0–017.3%
- 2–013.1%
- 1–111.1%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–16.9%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 60% · BTTS No 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Yantra −0.5| Yantra line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 25% | – | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 29% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| 0 | 54% | 30% | 16% |
| +0.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 12% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.