Yantra
Pirin Blagoevgrad
The model leans Yantra at 53%. Expected goals: Yantra 1.61, Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.62. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 62%. Yantra won 4 of their last 6; Pirin Blagoevgrad won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Yantra | 60% | 1.66 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.76 | – | – | – |
| 2Pirin Blagoevgrad | 13% | 7.64 | – | – | – |
Pick: Yantra. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 60%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 87%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.61 – 0.62| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% |
| Both teams to score | Yes37% | No63% |
Most likely scores
- 1–017.2%
- 2–013.9%
- 1–110.8%
- 0–010.7%
- 2–18.7%
- 3–07.5%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 55% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Yantra −1| Yantra line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 34% | – | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | – | 39% |
| 0 | 61% | 24% | 14% |
| +0.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 11% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.