Predictions · LaLiga ·
Deportivo A Coruña
v
Void
Elche
The model leans Deportivo A Coruña at 38%. Expected goals: Deportivo A Coruña 1.33, Elche 1.10. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 50%.
Match result (1X2)
Market: closing odds, 1xBet_Spain41
30
30
| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Deportivo A Coruña | 41% | 2.47 | 2.34 | 42% | −2 |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.35 | 3.17 | 31% | −1 |
| 2Elche | 30% | 3.38 | 3.68 | 27% | +3 |
Pick: Deportivo A Coruña. Calibrated probability 38% (raw model output 41%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 70%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.33 – 1.10| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% |
| Both teams to score | Yes49% | No51% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.7%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–18.5%
- 2–07.8%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 51% · BTTS Yes 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Deportivo A Coruña 0| Deportivo A Coruña line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 19% | – | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| 0 | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| +0.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.