Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC
Ujpest
The model leans Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC at 39%. Expected goals: Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC 1.86, Ujpest 1.68. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 70%. Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC won 2 of their last 6; Ujpest won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC | 42% | 2.40 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.19 | – | – | – |
| 2Ujpest | 35% | 2.90 | – | – | – |
Pick: Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.86 – 1.68| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% |
| Both teams to score | Yes69% | No31% |
Most likely scores
- 1–19.1%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–05.4%
- 3–15.2%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC 0| Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 23% | – | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | – | 57% |
| 0 | 43% | 22% | 35% |
| +0.5 | 65% | – | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.