Damac FC
Al-Taawoun
The model leans Al-Taawoun at 50%. Expected goals: Damac FC 1.02, Al-Taawoun 1.58. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 52%. Damac FC won 0 of their last 3; Al-Taawoun won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Damac FC | 23% | 4.30 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.63 | – | – | – |
| 2Al-Taawoun | 49% | 2.03 | – | – | – |
Pick: Al-Taawoun. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 49%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.02 – 1.58| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% |
| Both teams to score | Yes51% | No49% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.0%
- 0–111.7%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–29.3%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–07.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 48% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Al-Taawoun −0.5| Damac FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 9% | – | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 16% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| 0 | 24% | 25% | 50% |
| +0.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | – | 26% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.