Wolfsberger AC
Salzburg
The model leans Salzburg at 38%. Expected goals: Wolfsberger AC 1.15, Salzburg 1.39. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 53%. Wolfsberger AC won 2 of their last 6; Salzburg won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Wolfsberger AC | 30% | 3.34 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.44 | – | – | – |
| 2Salzburg | 41% | 2.44 | – | – | – |
Pick: Salzburg. Calibrated probability 38% (raw model output 41%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 71%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.15 – 1.39| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% |
| Both teams to score | Yes51% | No49% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–07.9%
- 0–27.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Wolfsberger AC 0| Wolfsberger AC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 13% | – | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 19% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | – | 69% |
| 0 | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| +0.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.