Enköping
Västerås SK
The model leans Västerås SK at 62%. Expected goals: Enköping 1.31, Västerås SK 3.02. Over 2.5 goals 81%, both teams to score 70%. Enköping won 1 of their last 6; Västerås SK won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Enköping | 13% | 7.73 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 16% | 6.41 | – | – | – |
| 2Västerås SK | 71% | 1.40 | – | – | – |
Pick: Västerås SK. Calibrated probability 62% (raw model output 71%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 87%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.31 – 3.02| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% |
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% |
| Both teams to score | Yes69% | No31% |
Most likely scores
- 1–38.0%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–36.1%
- 0–26.0%
- 1–46.0%
- 1–15.2%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Västerås SK −1.5| Enköping line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5% | – | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 8% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| 0 | 14% | 15% | 72% |
| +0.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| +1 | 28% | 19% | 53% |
| +1.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.