Club Brugge
Cercle Brugge
The model leans Club Brugge at 69%. Expected goals: Club Brugge 3.34, Cercle Brugge 1.04. Over 2.5 goals 81%, both teams to score 63%. Club Brugge won 3 of their last 6; Cercle Brugge won 0 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Club Brugge | 80% | 1.24 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 12% | 8.28 | – | – | – |
| 2Cercle Brugge | 7% | 13.35 | – | – | – |
Pick: Club Brugge. Calibrated probability 69% (raw model output 80%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 93%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.34 – 1.04| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% |
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 64% | 36% |
| Both teams to score | Yes62% | No38% |
Most likely scores
- 3–18.1%
- 3–07.8%
- 2–17.3%
- 2–07.0%
- 4–16.8%
- 4–06.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Club Brugge −2| Club Brugge line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 64% | – | 36% |
| -1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| -0.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
| 0 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +0.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.