Club Brugge
Kortrijk
The model leans Club Brugge at 69%. Expected goals: Club Brugge 3.12, Kortrijk 0.95. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 59%. Club Brugge won 3 of their last 6; Kortrijk won 0 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Club Brugge | 79% | 1.26 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 13% | 7.68 | – | – | – |
| 2Kortrijk | 8% | 13.33 | – | – | – |
Pick: Club Brugge. Calibrated probability 69% (raw model output 79%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 93%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.12 – 0.95| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| Both teams to score | Yes58% | No42% |
Most likely scores
- 3–08.7%
- 2–08.4%
- 3–18.3%
- 2–17.9%
- 4–06.8%
- 4–16.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 66% · BTTS Yes 55%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Club Brugge −2| Club Brugge line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| -1 | 62% | 18% | 20% |
| -0.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
| 0 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +0.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.