IK Oddevold
Varbergs BoIS FC
The model leans IK Oddevold at 37%. Expected goals: IK Oddevold 1.72, Varbergs BoIS FC 1.68. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 68%. IK Oddevold won 2 of their last 6; Varbergs BoIS FC won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1IK Oddevold | 39% | 2.59 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.07 | – | – | – |
| 2Varbergs BoIS FC | 37% | 2.71 | – | – | – |
Pick: IK Oddevold. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 39%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.72 – 1.68| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| Both teams to score | Yes67% | No33% |
Most likely scores
- 1–19.7%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–05.8%
- 0–15.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: IK Oddevold 0| IK Oddevold line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 20% | – | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| 0 | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| +0.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 19% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.